Comments on: May 18 – I Play Poker As A Profession

By: Poker game developers

Poker game developers — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 06:03:40 +0000

I salute you for making Poker as a profession. Discipline in poker is one of the hardest thing Ive not good at. Managing your money properly and how much one will be able to afford on their online poker games. Knowing how deep one’s pocket is, is very essential before delving hands into this field.A professional poker player needs to strictly abide by some guidelines.

By: SplitSuit

SplitSuit — Sun, 07 Jun 2009 03:14:12 +0000

that was my thought on less than $70, to encourage 2 callers much more often.

I don’t rly think i can ever encourage a suicide raise tho, given the logical ranges of both of them

*SS*

By: dobieatwar

dobieatwar — Wed, 27 May 2009 05:05:29 +0000

Bet $40. That is better than $41-79 because you will most likely get 2 callers (possibly even idiots with ace high).

It also increases the chances one will make a suicide raise.

By: SplitSuit

SplitSuit — Thu, 21 May 2009 02:14:17 +0000

live is a silly beast yo

*SS*

By: JH1

JH1 — Wed, 20 May 2009 21:39:25 +0000

$69 * 0.90 = $62.10
$200 * 0.05 = $10.00

With this read then it is obvious that $69 is better. I did not realize FE jumps so much vs shoves live. There is probably some number between $69-$100 then that is optimal if there is that much of a barrier, but $69 is obviously fine while sitting at the table with action on you trying to decide.

By: SplitSuit

SplitSuit — Wed, 20 May 2009 21:28:51 +0000

90% on $69
5% on $200

By: JH1

JH1 — Wed, 20 May 2009 21:19:09 +0000

Yeah I am. It is just way too profitable the few times you do get called by UTG imo to not shove here.

And I think if he calls $69 100% of the time and shoving has to be called 34% of the time to equal the same EV, that is just too big of a jump in fold equity.

Plus the less and less often he calls the $69 the more and more profitable shoving becomes in comparison.

So if I think that $200(34%+) is better than $69(100%) then it stands to reason that shoving is always better.

If he only calls your $69 bet 50% of the time for EV = $34.50, then shoving is even better since it only has to work 17%+ of the time to be more profitable.

Your shove basically has to reduce his call % to a very miniscule number for shoving to be worse than $69.

What is you estimate on how often he calls $69

By: SplitSuit

SplitSuit — Wed, 20 May 2009 19:46:13 +0000

JH1:

Are you taking the $100+ mental barrier into the equation here?

By: JH1

JH1 — Wed, 20 May 2009 17:24:46 +0000

If I calculated this correctly, the pot is ~$300 on the river, UTG has $200 and awkward guy has $70. I assume you have them covered.

Awkward guy *should* be calling with anything strong enough to raise the turn here although I think a call from UTG will decrease the chances of that since he has to put at least one of you on a Jx or 5x hand.

I would therefore be focussing on maximizing value vs UTG who has a fairly strong range like you said and a bigger stack.

Lets say he calls the $69 bet 80% of the time:
$69 * 0.80 = $55.2

If we put him in for $200:
$200 * x = $55.2
x = 0.28

We have to reduce the amount of the time he calls to less than 28% for $69 to be more profitable.

Even if he calls the $69 bet 100% of the time, I still think the $200 bet is more profitable.

I like the turn donk btw.

By: SplitSuit

SplitSuit — Tue, 19 May 2009 18:23:58 +0000

Glad you like the site Louis =)

As for checking, I don’t really think that is an option given my donk on the turn. I also think donking the turn is the best play because the J is terrible and increases the chances they go into passive mode because of it. I also never want to give the awkward guy (who I view as having a 5 quite often) a chance to knock back. Also, if I bet and UTG calls, it increases the chances that awkward guy calls.

I personally think bet>check, and that the CR would only be good if I KNEW UTG wud bet and awkward guy would call. my 2c

*SS*