Poker Hand Review – KK Value Betting

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$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold’em Cash Game, 9 Players
Poker Tools by Stoxpoker

Hero (SB): $50.25 (100.5 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $64.15 (128.3 bb)
UTG+1: $59.20 (118.4 bb)
MP1: $62.30 (124.6 bb)
MP2: $60.10 (120.2 bb)
MP3: $73.95 (147.9 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with K of hearts K of diamonds
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 raises to $2.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $6.95, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $6.45, MP3 folds

Flop: ($16.90) 9 of hearts 2 of diamonds 3 of spades (2 players)
Hero bets $11.35, UTG+1 calls $11.35

Turn: ($39.60) 9 of clubs (2 players)
Hero bets $18.95, UTG+1 calls $18.95

So this is the hand from a little while ago. Important pieces of info:

Hero: 14/12 at the time, about 3% 3b and no big pots to note over the 40 hands at the table

UTG+1: about 58/15 over the 40 hands at the table. Huge fish, is down a BI already. Small sample, but only folds to CBs about 50% of the time

MP3: 10/9 over 900 hands. Understands position and everything, winning player, but certainly a nitTAG

PF I decide to 3b as it comes back to me. No reason to just call here and play MITM (monkey in the middle) with a strong hand that hates flops 25% of the time. I 3b around 3x, but go a pinch smaller to invite UTG+1 if he really wants and because the ISO size was a little large as is. I only get the call from UTG+1 and we see a super dry HU flop.

Here, I think his PF flatting of a 3b range is almost exactly TT+/AK. While possible that he might do it a pinch wider (AQ/AJ/77+), I think that may be a bit too optimistic. So I am never folding on this board as I beat a lot of his range, and would like to stack here if possible. We also want to bet here. If we look at the stats of UTG+1 we see he has a huge gap between his VPIP and PFR…this is very indicative of passivity…so we can expect he wouldn’t often take the opportunity to bet here. So we bet, and need to pick a size that makes him feel comfortable with all of his range. I actually think I sized too large here and should have bet something like $9.6 rather than $11.35…just cutting under the $10 threshold…and he calls

The turn is clean given assigned range, so another bet is certainly in order. We cannot get stacks in if we check, and we can actually expect him to check behind almost all of his range given the passivity. The bet size is very important here, and the big reason why I posted this hand. I bet just about 1/2 pot, and cut just under the $20 threshold. This prices him to any river shove (which is really only $13 more)…but say I had shoved rather than bet how I did. If i bet $32 here (which is about a PSB) then he might possibly get uncomfortable with TT/JJ…and even if he only folded that 10% more often than he would if i bet $18…then I am losing major value in the hand. I see people make this mistake all the time…they shove…because it’s around PSB and a valid betsize…but the size doesnt accomplish everything it needs to…and thus is sub-optimal.

The river is a simple shove, but the real value in the hand is the turn sizing, which locks in the win and the pot size we wanted. Also, do not make the mistake of checking the turn. The card, while pairing the board, is not dangerous given range assignment. And don’t check it…1.) opponent is passive 2.) these types of opponents will think “O man, the 9 is bad because he could have A9” (which maaaaaaaaybe makes up 1% of my range, lol) and check behind meaning we probably don’t get the stack in.

River: ($77.50) K of clubs (2 players)
Hero bets $13 and is all-in, UTG+1 calls $13

Results:

Spoiler:

*SS*

SplitSuit

My name is James "SplitSuit" Sweeney and I'm a poker player, coach, and author. I've released 300+ videos, coached 500+ players, and co-founded the training site Red Chip Poker. Contact me if you need any help improving your poker game!

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