Todayās handĀ comes from Bob, and Bob wants me to review this live hand played with 76s. In this hand the blinds are $2/$3 āĀ it folds around, hero decides to open. Gets called, gets called, gets called and goes multi-way to the flopĀ which of course is not too too uncommon in the live environment. It checks to Bob whoĀ decides to check as well. Bob said he would decide whether to check call or check raise based upon who bet, what the exact action in sizing, etc. I can totally be on board with that. I think this is one of those where if you bet, youāre probably not getting a tremendous amount of folds and turns are going to suck.
I donāt mind taking the more check and aggressive route rather than just taking the mindless seed bet and put yourself into some really uncomfortable turn spots where you have no clue if thereās any fold equity whatsoever. Youāre often times going to acquire some.
In this exact spot it goes check, check, check, all the way through. Three on a turn, the SB bets, and heroĀ just decides to call.
I feel a lot of players would look at a situation like this. Obviously, they have the nuts, and just start shoveling money in as quickly as possible. Itās not that raising here is necessarily bad here by any stretch, but I donāt think itās optimal. This is one where I donāt think anyone has a super strong hand. The bad rec is the only one who I think can really have a strong hand given the fact that he checked flop. Normally, he checked the preflop aggressor. I think in this type of situation, heās the only one who can have a super strong hand. I think if the passive player or the stock player who only likes two pair or a set of a flop, we would have heard from them with a bet.
In this situation, I actually like calling to try to induce some lighter stuff. Try to induce hands likeĀ Ace X to come along, or a pair +Ā weakĀ draw to come along, or pocket sevens to come along. Whatever it is, I want to try to induce some stuff to try to come through. Weāre laying in a pretty good price, if anyone has a flush draw, whatever, sucks to be us but who cares. Iām really just trying to induce single pairs and crappy draws to come along.
I think by just calling we can do that where as if we were to raise to something like $100, we blow it off. Iām not even sure if the bad fifty year old is going to get super crazy unless he has two pair plus.
Again, my major point is how can I get the other two goofballs involved and I think calling is definitely going to be the way to do that. In this spot, we actually do end up getting called in both spots which is awesome. Normally I only expect one of them to continue, getting two is fantastic.
On the river board pairs, we face a fifty on our bets and here decides to call again. There are a couple really important considerations to make here. First and foremost, I donāt think anyone has a boat or quads or anything like that stuff. I think if the bad fifty year old had it, he would have bet much larger than just $50 on this river. He only had $140 to start this street into a $183 pot, I think he just rips it or at least bets $100 if he has it. I donāt think he has that, and I donāt think anyone else has anything strong either. I think if someone had two pair or a set earlier in the hand, we would have heard from it. I really feel like we have the nuts here, itās really not a concern as far as boats are.
With that said, which line is going to be more profitable. Calling here to try to induce one or two calls behind us or induce a lighter ship behind us or just going after the bad fifty year oldās stack our self and just raising it out. Which one is going to be more profitable?
If we rip and go after the bad fifty year oldās stack, weāre really just going after his last $90, whereas if we call, we need both players behind us to call in order to equal that same amount of money, or we need to call and induce one of them to shove. I donāt think the passive dude is ever going to shove bad and the stuck guy may, but itās one of those where if he has 3x or something like that or whatever, I think if we raise heās going to continue just the same as if we call and try and induce some kind of raise from him.
I think either way, if someone has a three, weāre going to get money from it whether we raise here or call to induce from it. In fact, a passive player may even call a weak three on the river. Itās one of those where I think raising is going to be much, much better here.
The only time I would call here is if I were very, very confident that one of the two players behind me is going to rip like a whiffedĀ draw or something like that and think that thereās any semblance of fold equity. I think thatās an optimistic thing to consider in this situation, juts because why would they do that? If they wanted to play aggressive why wouldnāt they have just done it one the turn?
I donāt think that weāre going to be facing that very, very often. Keeping all of those factors in mind, I would just much rather shove the river, hope that someone has a sticky three, hope that the bad fifty year old canāt find a fold with whatever hand he has, and try to go after the money that way. I think calling to induce is a little optimistic and I think calling to hope that you get two calls behind you is really optimistic. Youāve can expect that at least one of them has a whiffed draw and is most likely not going to continue, if not both of them having that same whiffed draw and they donāt continue.
This exact situation face a raise to $190, the bad fifty year old calls and hero just calls as well. I think this a leak again. I donāt think anyone has a boat here. Iām not concerned about boats in the slightest. If the stuck dude had 43, I donāt see him just calling the turn. I really donāt. I see him raising it. If he had a set, I think that he either raises the turn or he bets the flop himself. Iām not concerned about the monsterĀ here.
With that said, I think just calling here leaves $40 on the table. Iād really like to see here, get after it, get that last $40 and add it to his stack rather than letting the stuck guy hold onto it.
After itās all said and day we end up shipping the pot of course and we see the stuck guy did end up having the inducer which is great, the bad guy had a second best straight, it is what it is. Again, we shoved the last $40, we never get called by J6, but I donāt expect to see J6Ā often enough. Iām not shocked to see a stuck three, something like 9xĀ that all of a sudden goes into over value mode. Iād just rather get after it the times he can call me rather than let him keep his last $40.
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